Skip to content

UFC Vegas 124 · Main card · Light Heavyweight

Billy Elekana vs Lucas Fernando: Stats, Style Matchup and Betting Breakdown

Billy Elekana vs Lucas Fernando stats and betting breakdown for UFC Vegas 124 (Nov 7, 2026, Meta APEX): records, UFCStats numbers, styles and what to watch.

By FightingStats · · All articles

UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs Walker (UFC Vegas 124): Billy Elekana vs Lucas Fernando · Light Heavyweight, three rounds · Main card · Saturday, Nov 7, 2026 · Meta APEX, Las Vegas · Prelims 5 PM ET, main card 8 PM ET on Paramount+ (UFC.com)

Billy Elekana (10-2-0, UFC 3-1) faces Lucas Fernando (14-3-0, UFC 1-0) at light heavyweight on the main card of UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs Walker (UFC Vegas 124) on Saturday, Nov 7, 2026, at the Meta APEX in Las Vegas. Fernando’s volume and accuracy at range meet Elekana’s 46.2% significant-strike defence. This breakdown sticks to UFCStats numbers, official records and the FightingStats Tape Index. It does not call a winner.

Elekana vs Fernando tale of the tape

Records and physicals from UFC.com, UFCStats, Sherdog and Tapology, as cited in the FightingStats matchup brief (2026-10-25).

  • Record: Elekana 10-2-0 (UFC 3-1) · Fernando 14-3-0 (UFC 1-0)
  • Age: Elekana 31 (DOB May 28, 1995) · Fernando 29 (DOB Jan 10, 1997)
  • Height / Reach: Elekana 6'3“ / 77” (UFC Stats; Sherdog 6'2“) · Fernando 6'3” / 80" (UFC Stats)
  • Stance: Elekana Southpaw · Fernando Orthodox (UFCalendar; not listed on UFC Stats)
  • Streak: Elekana W3 (Aslan, Christian, Tafa) · Fernando W5 (JP Silva, Oliveira, Latu, Soares, Tobias)
  • Last fight: Elekana Tafa — SUB W (RNC) R2 3:18 (Jan 31, 2026) · Fernando Tobias — TKO W R3 1:10 (Aug 15, 2026)
  • Win methods: Elekana Pro: 3 KO / 3 SUB / 4 DEC · Fernando Pro: 8 KO / 2 SUB / 4 DEC
  • Layoff into this bout: Elekana ~9.2 months (280 days) · Fernando ~2.8 months (84 days)

How Elekana and Fernando win: style matchup

Elekana path (how he has been winning): Accurate southpaw striking and opportunistic back-takes. He lands 56.5% of his significant strikes, out-pointed Aslan at distance with 17/21 body shots, and finished Christian and Tafa with rear-naked chokes. Against Tafa, one takedown led to mount and the back (MMA Junkie). His opponents have controlled him for only 0:39 per 15 minutes.

Fernando path (how he has been winning): Long-range kickboxing with knees and body shots. Eight of his ten stoppages came in R1. Against Tobias he landed 69/115, went 11/12 to the body in R1 and 7/7 to the legs in R2, scored two knockdowns and finished with a knee to the body. Tobias landed 13 significant strikes in 11 minutes.

Central tension: Fernando’s volume and accuracy at range meet Elekana’s 46.2% significant-strike defence. Elekana has been out-landed 127-96 in the UFC and was dropped by Tafa. Elekana’s finishes come from grappling: two RNCs, plus 3:40 of control against Guskov in R1. But he lands only 2/9 takedowns. Fernando has not attempted a takedown in the UFC, and Tobias’s only shot landed. Fernando has never been finished. Three of Elekana’s four UFC fights ended in submissions: two wins and the Guskov loss.

Physicals: Both are 6'3“. Fernando has a three-inch reach edge (80” vs 77") and is two years younger. Elekana is a southpaw; UFCalendar lists Fernando as orthodox.

Elekana vs Fernando stats comparison

UFC fights only (UFCStats via the Greco CSV pull in the brief). Rates are per minute or per 15 minutes; the last figure is the division average where the brief lists one.

  • SLpM / SApM: Elekana 2.71 / 3.59 · Fernando 6.18 / 1.16 (division avg 3.26 / 3.65)
  • SS Acc / SS Def: Elekana 56.5% / 46.2% · Fernando 60.0% / 76.8% (division avg 46.8% / 51.3%)
  • TD Acc / TD Avg /15: Elekana 22.2% (2/9) / 0.85 · Fernando — (0 attempts) / 0.00 (division avg 34.2% / —)
  • TDD: Elekana — (0 attempts against) · Fernando 0% (Tobias 1/1) (division avg 59.6%)
  • CTRL /15: Elekana 2:24 · Fernando 0:12 (division avg 2:52)
  • CTRL against /15: Elekana 0:39 · Fernando 1:14 (division avg 3:32)
  • Sub Avg /15: Elekana 0.85 (2 attempts) · Fernando 0.00
  • KD scored / absorbed: Elekana 1 / 1 · Fernando 2 / 0 (division avg 0.49 / 0.67 per 15)

What to watch in Elekana vs Fernando

  • Elekana’s first takedown attempt. He is 2/9 in the UFC, and Tobias’s only attempt on Fernando landed.
  • A Fernando knockdown in R1. Elekana was dropped by Tafa and came back to win.
  • Ring rust. Elekana has had 280 days off; Fernando is on his third fight of 2026.

Elekana vs Fernando recent form

Last three fights, newest first (dates, results and methods from the brief's UFCStats, Sherdog and Tapology sources).

  • Billy Elekana, last 3: W Junior Tafa (UFC 325), SUB (RNC) R2 3:18 (Jan 31, 2026) · W Kevin Christian (UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama), SUB (RNC) R1 3:33 (Nov 1, 2025) · W Ibo Aslan (UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder), UD (Jul 26, 2025).
  • Lucas Fernando, last 3: W Rafael Tobias (UFC 330), TKO (knee to the body and elbows) R3 1:10 (Aug 15, 2026) · W Leon Soares (LFA 234), TKO (leg kick and punches) R1 1:28 (May 29, 2026) · W Phillip Latu (LFA 214), TKO (punches) R1 1:03 (Aug 15, 2025).

The FightingStats Tape Index lists 12 career bouts for Elekana (11 with film) and 17 for Fernando (6 with film).

Elekana vs Fernando odds and betting angles

This page does not quote odds or make picks. Prices move all week, and no sportsbook price is cited here. For the numbers behind the matchup, see the stats comparison, style notes and recent form above.

  • Fighting Stats' best bets for the card: Best Bets
  • Fighting Stats' publicly tracked record: Results

Go deeper: Elekana vs Fernando stats comparison · Elekana vs Fernando: past fights and film in the Tape Index · Tape Index: every career bout on the card, with film · Full Elekana vs Fernando matchup report (PDF) · Main event: Cortes Acosta vs Walker breakdown · Schedule · Results

Elekana vs Fernando FAQ

When and where is Elekana vs Fernando?

Saturday, Nov 7, 2026, at the Meta APEX in Las Vegas, on the main card of UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs Walker (also called UFC Vegas 124). UFC.com lists the prelims at 5 PM ET and the main card at 8 PM ET on Paramount+.

What are Elekana and Fernando's records?

Billy Elekana is 10-2-0 (UFC 3-1). Lucas Fernando is 14-3-0 (UFC 1-0). Records per UFC.com, UFCStats and Sherdog as cited in the FightingStats matchup brief (2026-10-25).

How does Billy Elekana usually win?

Accurate southpaw striking and opportunistic back-takes. He lands 56.5% of his significant strikes, out-pointed Aslan at distance with 17/21 body shots, and finished Christian and Tafa with rear-naked chokes.

How does Lucas Fernando usually win?

Long-range kickboxing with knees and body shots. Eight of his ten stoppages came in R1.


Fight week on Fighting Stats: Follow along on Patreon for member posts through fight week.

Stats and analysis are for entertainment and informational purposes only. This is not betting advice. 21+ where legal. Gamble responsibly.