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UFC Vegas 124 · Prelims · Women's Flyweight

Karine Silva vs Gabriella Fernandes: Stats, Style Matchup and Betting Breakdown

Karine Silva vs Gabriella Fernandes stats and betting breakdown for UFC Vegas 124 (Nov 7, 2026, Meta APEX): records, UFCStats numbers, styles and what to watch.

By FightingStats · · All articles

UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs Walker (UFC Vegas 124): Karine Silva vs Gabriella Fernandes · Women's Flyweight, three rounds · Prelims · Saturday, Nov 7, 2026 · Meta APEX, Las Vegas · Prelims 5 PM ET, main card 8 PM ET on Paramount+ (UFC.com)

Karine Silva (19-7-0, UFC 5-3) faces Gabriella Fernandes (11-4-0, UFC 3-3) at women's flyweight on the prelims of UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs Walker (UFC Vegas 124) on Saturday, Nov 7, 2026, at the Meta APEX in Las Vegas. Silva’s takedowns against Fernandes’ defence. This breakdown sticks to UFCStats numbers, official records and the FightingStats Tape Index. It does not call a winner.

Silva vs Fernandes tale of the tape

Records and physicals from UFC.com, UFCStats, Sherdog and Tapology, as cited in the FightingStats matchup brief (2026-10-25).

  • Record: Silva 19-7-0 (UFC 5-3) · Fernandes 11-4-0 (UFC 3-3)
  • Age: Silva 32 (DOB Dec 2, 1993) · Fernandes 33 (DOB Aug 13, 1993)
  • Height / Reach: Silva 5'5“ / 67” (UFC Stats) · Fernandes 5'6“ / 66” (UFC Stats)
  • Stance: Silva Orthodox (switches in exchanges) · Fernandes Southpaw
  • Streak: Silva L2 (Barber, Jasudavicius) · Fernandes L1 (O’Neill)
  • Last fight: Silva Jasudavicius — UD L (Apr 18, 2026) · Fernandes O’Neill — KO L R1 3:11 (Mar 28, 2026)
  • Win methods: Silva Pro: 9 KO / 8 SUB / 2 DEC · Fernandes Pro: 3 KO / 3 SUB / 5 DEC
  • Layoff into this bout: Silva ~6.7 months (203 days) · Fernandes ~7.4 months (224 days)

How Silva and Fernandes win: style matchup

Silva path (how she has been winning): Takedowns and submissions. She has landed 12/22 UFC takedowns and attempts 1.38 submissions per 15 minutes, and all three UFC finishes came in R1: a D’Arce, a kneebar and a guillotine off her back. On the feet she is low-volume (2.27 per minute) and kick-heavy (35% to the legs), with calf kicks and a clubbing overhand right. Her two decision wins came on positions while being out-landed.

Fernandes path (how she has been winning): Southpaw striking from range — 46.6% accuracy, 89% of her landed strikes at distance, 21% to the body — with takedown defence that held Stoliarenko to 0/6. Her output rises by round (15.7 / 17.4 / 18.0 landed per round). Two of her three UFC wins went the distance; the third was a knockdown and rear-naked choke of Wang Cong.

Central tension: Silva’s takedowns against Fernandes’ defence. Fernandes stuffs 69% of attempts, but the two opponents who wrestled her for 15 minutes landed 3/10 (Bleda) and 4/8 (Jasudavicius) and held her down for 10:51 and 11:31; she has landed 0 ground strikes in the UFC. On the feet the numbers favour Fernandes: she lands 3.51 per minute to Silva’s 2.27, and Silva’s output falls after R1 (12.6 landed in R1, 9.0 in R2) while opponents’ R3 output against her rises to 15.8. Silva absorbs only 2.64 per minute and has never been knocked down in the UFC; Fernandes absorbs 5.31 and was knocked out in her last fight.

Physicals: Fernandes is listed an inch taller (5'6“ vs 5'5”), Silva an inch longer in reach (67“ vs 66”). Orthodox vs southpaw. Silva is about three and a half months younger.

Silva vs Fernandes stats comparison

UFC fights only (UFCStats via the Greco CSV pull in the brief). Rates are per minute or per 15 minutes; the last figure is the division average where the brief lists one.

  • SLpM / SApM: Silva 2.27 / 2.64 · Fernandes 3.51 / 5.31 (division avg 3.78 / 3.94)
  • SS Acc / SS Def: Silva 39.7% / 53.7% · Fernandes 46.6% / 53.1% (division avg 43.4% / 55.1%)
  • TD Acc / TD Avg /15: Silva 54.5% (12/22) / 2.08 · Fernandes 18.2% (2/11) / 0.42 (division avg 40.1% / 1.31)
  • TDD: Silva 29.4% (5/17 stuffed) · Fernandes 69.0% (20/29 stuffed) (division avg 57.0%)
  • CTRL /15: Silva 3:26 · Fernandes 0:42 (division avg 3:06)
  • CTRL against /15: Silva 4:30 · Fernandes 5:08 (division avg 3:40)
  • Sub Avg /15: Silva 1.38 · Fernandes 0.21 (division avg 0.46)
  • KD scored / absorbed: Silva 1 / 0 · Fernandes 1 / 1 (division avg 0.10 / 0.21 per 15)

What to watch in Silva vs Fernandes

  • Silva’s first takedown attempt against Fernandes’ 69% defence.
  • Fernandes’ durability after the O’Neill KO — Silva has 9 pro KO wins but none in the UFC.
  • A late-round swing: Silva’s output falls after R1 while Fernandes’ rises.
  • A Silva submission against a fighter never submitted in 15 pro fights.
  • A 15-minute fight: Silva is 2-4 on the scorecards, Fernandes 5-3.

Silva vs Fernandes recent form

Last three fights, newest first (dates, results and methods from the brief's UFCStats, Sherdog and Tapology sources).

  • Karine Silva, last 3: L Jasmine Jasudavicius (UFC Fight Night 273), UD (Apr 18, 2026) · L Maycee Barber (UFC 323), UD (Dec 6, 2025) · W Dione Barbosa (UFC 319), UD (Aug 16, 2025).
  • Gabriella Fernandes, last 3: L Casey O’Neill (UFC Fight Night 271), KO (punches) R1 3:11 (Mar 28, 2026) · W Julija Stoliarenko (UFC on ESPN 72), UD (Aug 9, 2025) · W Wang Cong (UFC Fight Night 248), SUB (RNC) R2 3:49 (Nov 23, 2024).

The FightingStats Tape Index lists 26 career bouts for Silva (11 with film) and 15 for Fernandes (11 with film).

Silva vs Fernandes odds and betting angles

This page does not quote odds or make picks. Prices move all week, and no sportsbook price is cited here. For the numbers behind the matchup, see the stats comparison, style notes and recent form above.

  • Fighting Stats' best bets for the card: Best Bets
  • Fighting Stats' publicly tracked record: Results

Go deeper: Silva vs Fernandes stats comparison · Silva vs Fernandes: past fights and film in the Tape Index · Tape Index: every career bout on the card, with film · Full Silva vs Fernandes matchup report (PDF) · Main event: Cortes Acosta vs Walker breakdown · Schedule · Results

Silva vs Fernandes FAQ

When and where is Silva vs Fernandes?

Saturday, Nov 7, 2026, at the Meta APEX in Las Vegas, on the prelims of UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs Walker (also called UFC Vegas 124). UFC.com lists the prelims at 5 PM ET and the main card at 8 PM ET on Paramount+.

What are Silva and Fernandes's records?

Karine Silva is 19-7-0 (UFC 5-3). Gabriella Fernandes is 11-4-0 (UFC 3-3). Records per UFC.com, UFCStats and Sherdog as cited in the FightingStats matchup brief (2026-10-25).

How does Karine Silva usually win?

Takedowns and submissions. She has landed 12/22 UFC takedowns and attempts 1.38 submissions per 15 minutes, and all three UFC finishes came in R1: a D’Arce, a kneebar and a guillotine off her back.

How does Gabriella Fernandes usually win?

Southpaw striking from range — 46.6% accuracy, 89% of her landed strikes at distance, 21% to the body — with takedown defence that held Stoliarenko to 0/6. Her output rises by round (15.7 / 17.4 / 18.0 landed per round).


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